Before diving deeper, this post will not provide any financial advice (NFA). As always, ensure to check your facts!
The crypto space is heavily influenced by token unlock events and these events have been documented to have a drastic effect on them, be it liquidity, market prices, or emotions. The low-mid cap projects outlined below are estimated to have unlock events between February 5 to February 11, 2025.
Note: This post was drafted at 10:47 AM UTC โ Feb 4, 2025
February 7, 2025
Tokocrypto (TKO)
- Market Cap: $55.27M
- Circulating Supply: 169.91M TKO
- Unlocked: 88%
- Locked: 12%
- Next Unlock: 15.00M TKO (~$4.78M, 8.65% of market cap)
Tokocrypto’s looming full unlock could instigate new selling pressure into the market. This has the potential to either create new selling pressure or replenish the market with fresh liquidity. Observers can only await the untaken distribution and whether it works towards increased volatility or serves to stabilize the token value, which depends on how much itโs distributed.
Neon (NEON)
- Market Cap: $61.14M
- Circulating Supply: 239.47M NEON
- Unlocked: 61.7%
- Locked: 32.3%
- Next Unlock: 53.91M NEON (~$14.08M, 23% of market cap)
While a large portion of its market cap is unlocked, the price of Neon could become incredibly volatile in the coming days. A 23% USD market cap unlock is significant enough by itself and can trigger drastic price movements, depending on sentiment and demand from investors. Market participants must analyze how the additional liquidity influences trading volume and order book depth to foresee further price shifts.
Jito Labs (JTO)
- Market Cap: $885.46M
- Circulating Supply: 290.18M JTO
- Unlocked: 24.7%
- Locked: 26%
- Next Unlock: 11.31M JTO (~$34.32M, 3.88% of market cap)
Jito Labs has shown this token a positive price movement for a while now and executes this unlock, it will be an interesting test of investor sentiment affecting price action. The token has been on a bullish trend and this unlock will determine whether the market chooses to sell or accumulate further. The introduction of almost 34.32 million dollars worth of tokens will be crucial in assessing the market response and determining how prices will move in the future.
February 9, 2025
DAO Maker (DAO)
- Market Cap: $71.46M
- Circulating Supply: 250.93M DAO
- Unlocked: 87.7%
- Locked: 2.25%
- Next Unlock: 3.12M DAO (~$885.33K, 1.24% of market cap)
Next unlocks for DAO Maker are relatively small, so its impact on the market is not likely to be significant compared to others on this list. Despite its favorable positioning in the market though, it is safe to say the remaining unlocks will lead to price fluctuations so close monitoring is necessary. Following the event, analyzing the trading volume and liquidity changes will provide valuable insights for investors.
XAI (XAI)
- Market Cap: $80.42M
- Circulating Supply: 738.32M XAI
- Unlocked: 26.6%
- Locked: 31.4%
- Next Unlock: 35.89M XAI (~$3.86M, 4.80% of market cap)
Because nearly 5% of its market cap is being unlocked, it is expected that there will be changes for XAI in terms of trading volume and liquidity dynamics. This will likely result in increased volatility since traders will have to react to the sudden influx of tokens into circulation. Depending on the demand from the market, this could either be a great selling opportunity or a chance to get some tokens at a lower price.
Movement (MOVE)
- Market Cap: $1.47B
- Circulating Supply: 2.30B MOVE
- Unlocked: 23%
- Locked: 77%
- Next Unlock: 50.00M MOVE (~$31.65M, 2.15% of market cap)
Letting an additional 50M tokens into circulation will create new market opportunities depending on investor reaction. In terms of supply and demand, if demand continues to be strong, the token will maintain its price levels. If supply overtakes demand, then it will have to go through a correction. Depending on how Movement chooses to unlock more tokens, the market might shift and strengthen liquidity.
February 10, 2025
Cetus Protocol (CETUS)
- Market Cap: $92.32M
- Circulating Supply: 643.75M CETUS
- Unlocked: 37.2%
- Locked: 12.8%
- Next Unlock: 8.00M CETUS (~$1.14M, 1.23% of market cap)
Not a major change, but small adjustments can affect the pulse of the market. Watching this unlock attempt can help capture fluctuations in price and trading volume. This unlock may create new opportunities with unfavorable which makes it worth keeping an eye on.
Cheelee (CHEEL)
- Market Cap: $459.02M
- Circulating Supply: 56.80M CHEEL
- Unlocked: 6.64%
- Locked: 26.6%
- Next Unlock: 2.67M CHEEL (~$21.67M, 4.72% of market cap)
With an unlocked percentage this low, this kind of event could greatly set shifts in demand particularly when liquidity shifts strongly. Depending on demand, a $21.67M unlock can greatly alter the market, which makes trading block activity high.
February 11, 2025
Goldfinch (GFI)
- Market Cap: $110.94M
- Circulating Supply: 92.34M GFI
- Unlocked: 56.4%
- Locked: 20.6%
- Next Unlock: 1.25M GFI (~$1.50M, 1.36% of market cap)
A small unlock that may not substantially alter the token price, but is noteworthy for any unusual activity that may accompany it.
io.net (IO)
- Market Cap: $212.67M
- Circulating Supply: 135.07M IO
- Unlocked: 14.4%
- Locked: 48.1%
- Next Unlock: 3.07M IO (~$4.77M, 2.24% of market cap)
This unlock has the potential to spur new levels of trading activity and improve liquidity immediately, which could create short-term bullish price action.
Delysium (AGI)
- Market Cap: $146.73M
- Circulating Supply: 1.44B AGI
- Unlocked: 46.4%
- Locked: 53.6%
- Next Unlock: 66.48M AGI (~$6.79M, 4.63% of market cap)
With such a huge amount of unlocking, AGI may face higher volatility in the short term, especially if there is not enough investor demand to absorb new supply.
Which token unlock are you tracking the most? Let me know down below! ๐
Source
Data source: https://cryptorank.io/token-unlock